Business Opportunities in Agriculture: 150 Field Interviews (Book)

Is the Guar Farmer Expecting Too much for his produce?

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agrootec

New Member
Massive penalty awaits guar traders



FMC to penalise clients and brokers for violating clubbing guidelines and manipulating prices, relisting delayed.

In order to avoid the repeat of guar-like saga in other agri-commodities, the Forward Markets Commission (FMC) is planning to impose a heavy penalty on a number of traders for violating clubbing guidelines and artificially manipulating prices.

The commodity derivatives market regulator has called for bank account statement of leading guar traders since its price started overshooting. Currently, the Commission is analysing the statements provided by traders.





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“We have discovered a violation of clubbing guidelines, prima facie, in our initial investigation. On aggregating traders’ position, we found that they booked guar in various names beyond the permissible limit. Hence, we are just working on the quantum of penalty to be imposed on them which may run into crores,” said a senior FMC official.
An FMC investigation in May 2012 revealed 4,490 entities were involved in guar price manipulation, who benefited by around Rs 1,291 crore.

Though, the Ministry of Consumer Affairs has not taken any concrete measures yet on the violators of FMC guidelines, the Commission continued its departmental investigations.

Earlier in March last year, a report from the industry body Assocham said that guar gum and guar seed prices jumped almost 70% between January – March 2012, despite several measures such as high margins, lower position limits, suspension of traders, etc taken by the regulator.

The prices of these commodities have risen ten-fold in the past year on low stocks. The normal price of guar bean in the season is Rs 10 a kg, while guar seed is traded at around Rs 150 a kg and guar gum at Rs 500 a kg.

The FMC had suspended futures trading in both guar seed and gum until September 2012 earlier, which was then extended indefinitely. The FMC in its circular warned commodity exchanges not to launch new contracts without its permission.

Meanwhile, Assocham cautioned the government for re-listing guar gum and guar seeds in the future market till the Forward Contract Regulation Amendment (FCRA) Bill to accord adequate powers to FMC with a view to regulate the market and penalise any insider trading, cartelisation and price manipulations.

It said that in year 2010-11, there was bumper crop of 15.45 lakh tonne and the price during the year ranged within Rs 2,000 - Rs 3,800 a quintal. During the year 2011-12, guar crop size was estimated at 12 lakh tonne and the guar price gone up from Rs 4,000 in October 2011 to Rs 29,000 a quintal in March 2012, an increase of 625%.

There is said to be export led increase in demand. However, such an abnormal price rise is not easily attributed to increase in export demand only. There is a possibility of price manipulation and insider trading as prices rose despite lack of corresponding trading volumes and negligible open interest in the market.

The future market price rise (returns) in 2011-12 is all most 10 times higher than last year and is the steepest rise in any agri commodity in the history of Indian future exchanges.

The future price change volatility (return volatility) in 2011-12 has gone up by almost 80% compared to 2010-11 figures. Guar future prices ranged between Rs 2,743 and Rs 29,900 a quintal. During 2011-12, the maximum price was 889 per cent higher than the maximum price 2010-11.

Now, despite 40-member Advisory Committee headed by the FMC chairman Ramesh Abhishek recommending the re-introduction guar contract on exchange platforms, the regulator seems in no hurry. The Commission is waiting to set up a sub-Committee which can analyse the need of its re-launch and recommend to the Advisory Committee for its assessment.

Consequently, traders’ may miss guar from exchange platform this season.
 
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Business Opportunities in Agriculture: 150 Field Interviews (Book)

tau_no_1

New Member
FMC is behaving like an OSTRICH by blocking forward trade in Guar.
Its like GOI stopping collection of Income Tax, if there is a case of Tax evasion. If FMC can not enforce its regulations it should work on its infrastructure and not ban trading.

Any ways, I am a Guar Farmer and Guar Seed is available at reasonable price. Seed is not certified but it gave me a good yield of 7 Qtl per acer. My seed rate was aprox 6.5 kgs per acre. Seed Buyers welcome. Its right time to sow in south india in light structured soils.
 

Business Opportunities in Agriculture: 150 Field Interviews (Book)

agrootec

New Member
Can you imagine if same thing could have happened with rice. .................. the rate of rice would be 200/kg...... the rate of mustard would have 350/kg. can you imagine your dish............... The speculative trader must be punished.
 

Business Opportunities in Agriculture: 150 Field Interviews (Book)

tau_no_1

New Member
In name of punishing Speculator farmer is being denied the right price for its produce.

Government of India vouches for free trade economy and just can not handle Forward trading in commodities.
There are systems available to control unwarranted speculation like account freeze, price freeze, Quantity freeze, Membership Suspension, Enhanced Margins, Compulsory Delivery, Trade to Trade trading, Intraday ban on booking profits, and many more financial and legal tools.
Banning Trade is no solution. Ban is hurting farmers, APMCs (due to less market fees), Exchanges (no trade, no brokrage) and less Forex is coming to India due to low prices of Guar.
 

Business Opportunities in Agriculture: 150 Field Interviews (Book)

hanuraoc

New Member
Thin commodities like Pepper, cardamom, chillies are volatile always. So is guar also. They are not essential commodities like wheat , rice etc. more over, guar is not consumed directly by consumers. Rather, it is industrial commodity , hence the price always driven by domestic industrial and export demand. Just like steel, Copper industrial demands.

FMC should taken some proactive steps to curb excessive speculation. The point to pond over , Why the gas fracturing companies bought guar gum at high price in the last March- May period. That can be attributed to some fundamental factors, less carry over stock from previous crop season; low out put in 2011-12 and high fracking demand .

This year , fracking still is continuing active but reduced up to 20%.The fracking companies' profitability is getting impacted negatively due to low pricing that competition from new players and of course the high guar gum price .
And the huge filed over guar gum inventory for another 3-6 months.
Bumper guar produce this year become pleasant surprise for them. They know they enough GAUR available . Hence they are not in hurry to buy now.

The alternatives of guar are also not cheap . They are also in the price $8000-$10000.
But they are not so successful as guar gum. Hence Gaur gum can settles in the range of$8000-$10000 in the medium term .
 

Business Opportunities in Agriculture: 150 Field Interviews (Book)

hanuraoc

New Member
Indian consumers not effected by high guar prices. Indian consumers neither buying guar for their daily consumption nor the gas /oil that was drilled by US frackers .Then why indian government should worry about the problem of foreign MNC giant corporations and punish indian guar farmer. Instead of banning guar futures trading, FMC could have permitted trading with due checks and balance to arrest excessive speculation. Future trading should be allowed to find the demand and supply scenario. Then millers,traders can estimate required gum quantity and then procure seed as per that. That brings stability in the guar market.

How ever, in the long term guar going to be high demand industrial commodity as many countries like Australia,S.Africa, Brazil are going for hydraulic fracturing .

India should use this opportunity and maintain its leader ship in guar before others take control of guar in the international market. Indian GOV should encourage farmers to cultivate guar with MSP; arrange for marketing facilities through likes of CCI and encourage more GUAR manufacturing units to come up across INDIA.
 

Business Opportunities in Agriculture: 150 Field Interviews (Book)

tau_no_1

New Member
8000-10000 $$s for gum means Guar price of ~~Rs.20000/- is feasible even in the absence of speculators.
So we have to wait for a month more to sell our crop due to insensitive Government of India.
Doesn't matter, we the Farmers of India have the patience and will prefer to wait.
 

Business Opportunities in Agriculture: 150 Field Interviews (Book)

manmadan

New Member
Dear Friends,

Rajasthan variety of best quality Guar seeds are available for sale in Ongole(Andhra Pradesh).
We have cultivated Guar Seed in Ongole in around 8 acres in October-Feb2013 season.
We got 7quintals yielding per acer.

So production is 56 quintals. Our product is currently available for sale. Please contact for further info.

Ravichandra Babu
Mobile Number:
 
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Business Opportunities in Agriculture: 150 Field Interviews (Book)

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