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Guar Seed ( Guar Gum ) Cultivation Details and other Information

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guargum

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Post Diwali Guar Gum Seed arrival has increased in Rajasthan.

[h=3]Post Diwali Guar Gum Seed arrival has increased in Rajasthan.[/h]

Post Diwali Guar Seed arrival has increased in physical market market .It has reached up to a level to 1,50,000 bag / Day. It wiill reach up to 2,00,000/ day. Don,t be worry it is peak arrival time. The situation will be remain tight in coming three- four months. Guar rates are going down and down ... it has reached 5100 in spot market. In remote locations it is traded at 4500-4600 / 100 Kg. The rates will keep falling below 4000/Kg.


  1. 20/10/2014 - 92583 Qt
  2. 21/10/2014 - 54190 Qt
  3. 22/10/2014 - 23759 Qt
  4. DIWALI GAP
  5. 27/10 /2014 - 42572 Qt
  6. 28/10 /2014 - 92091 Qt
  7. 29/10 /2014 - 93695 Qt
  8. 30/10 /2014 - 94025 Qt

Above quantity is only the seed arrived in Market (Mandi ) . It is showing a clear trend. It is not the actual , actual will me more multiple time as local unregistered agent are engaged in Trading and engaged in supplying directly to Factories..






Post arrival guar seed arrival has increased in Rajasthan.
Guar is under double pressure....

  • No more speculative and premium rates
  • The production of other commodity are less.



After a lot UP and Down market stabilizes and rates correct automatically. Like Gold and Crude.Not a surprise if Guar dip below the red line of 4000/ Qt in future market. in some MANDI rate of guar is coming around 4500/Qt and 4600/Qt.


Rates will improve after February and March but not too much only just because of peak arrival time will be over.
 

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guargum

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Will Guar seed and Guar Gum prices, keep falling in year ? What will be the bottom ??

[h=2]Tuesday, 4 November 2014[/h][h=3]Will Guar seed and Guar Gum prices, keep falling in year ? What will be the bottom ??[/h][h=3]

I am predicting split will be at a level of Rs 110-115 level. No one is willing to stock to guar seed everyone is bypassing to next channel. Market is moving toward extreme correction like Gold and Crude oil. Guar has rose from a level of 2100 to 30,000 then stayed on 5000 not it will correct toward 2100. This is reality that there will be correction within this year and then again it will maintain new level.








In future there will be no problem in supply side if there is no adverse climatic condition. Rain-fed farmer will have to grow it and he will keep growing.


Right now there is no election, there is no too much inflation, and there is no too much rise of demand in energy market. Unfortunately, greedy traders have stoked the material in Houston so Oil and Gas companies are not in hurry to buy the commodity. Those companies know that ware house charges of Houston will settle down the price of Guar gum powder, stocked there.


Indian manufacturer can stop it if they take some positive decision and some professional approach. Guar Gum has become like a vegetable in vegetable market in Houston for Oil and Natural Gas Companies. The buyer will come and buy it at any time.







[/h]
 

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Next Three tier Panchayat election (rural area election) and Guar seed rates in 14-15

[h=3]Next Three tier Panchayat election ( rural area election) and Guar seed rates in 2014-2015[/h][h=3]

Guar seed rates are under heavy pressure due to over supply in market. Now the rural election will put an extra pressure on guar seed rates. There are three tier elections in Rajsthan in Jan and Feb. There wil be three elections at the same time; village level ( SARPANCH ), Block level ( PRADHAN ) and District level ( JILA PRAMUKH). More than 2000-2500 candidates will contest election in Guar growing belt. Guar will be financier of these elections in rural area.


Candidates will liquidate their Guar stock to contest the election. Normally village level election are contest on own money by candidates instead of party fund like MLA or MP.


Guar will come out from farmers storage to market. Village elections are becoming very expensive in India. There is direct interaction of candidate and voters. candidate spend huge money to influence the voters. Guar is only commodity which is stored for long time in guar growing belt. Mostly big farmers stock the guar at village level, These same big farmers are politically active. Rural peopel are more political active than urban people.


Currently Guar is being traded at rs 4800 in NCDEx and 4500-4600 in Local market. there are clear possibilities that Guar will reach at the level of 4000 in local market before coming village elections. The guar Gum rate may reach up to a level of 115-120/Kg.


If the international energy prices will keep going down then it will directly hit the local guar market with influence of village elections.


During last assembly election Guar was a political issue. Now Guar will emerge as Political Financier.


[/h]
 

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guargum

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What does " Crude Going Down " means?

[h=3]What does " Crude Going Down " means?[/h]

Crude is going down toward USD 60/ barrel. Expert are predicting it toward USD 30/ Barrel. How will it effect the guar gum industry ?


Shale Gas Production may decrease


Crude is base of energy industry. Shale gas has emerged major competitor to crude oil It will directly effect the shale gas production. Shale gas production is major activity where guar gum powder in used in large quantity. If shale gas production goes down then it will directly effect the guar gum consumption. and it will further miss match the demand and supply. In this condition guar gum prices will come down. It may touch the November 2010 level.


Date​
Time​
Rate​
23 Nov 2010​
12 :33 :00​
5792.85​
23 Nov 2010​
16 :10 :00​
5927.5​
24 Nov 2010​
12 :38 :00​
6100​
24 Nov 2010​
15 :38 :00​
6075.3​
25 Nov 2010​
12 :39 :00​
5995.85​
25 Nov 2010​
15 :39 :00​
5944.75​
26 Nov 2010​
12 :45 :00​
6000​
26 Nov 2010​
15 :25 :00​
6000​
27 Nov 2010​
12 :44 :00​
5888.9​
29 Nov 2010​
12 :33 :00​
6151.95​
29 Nov 2010​
15 :44 :00​
6106.25​
30 Nov 2010​
12 :40 :00​
6060.3​
30 Nov 2010​
15 :40 :00​
6029.25​
01 Dec 2010​
12 :33 :00​
5983.35​
01 Dec 2010​
15 :24 :00​
6000​
02 Dec 2010​
12 :37 :00​
5864.3​
02 Dec 2010​
15 :53 :00​
5865.65​
03 Dec 2010​
12 :11 :00​
5950​
03 Dec 2010​
15 :13 :00​
5972.5​
04 Dec 2010​
13 :36 :00​
6400​
06 Dec 2010​
12 :41 :00​
6403.55​
06 Dec 2010​
15 :34 :00​
6453.85​
07 Dec 2010​
12 :33 :00​
6400​


November - December 2010 guar gum level was around INR 5000 - 6000 / 100 Kg. in that condition guar seed may touch INR 1700 - INR 1800 Level.


Shale Gas Production may increase


In the condition of hyper competition, Shale gas production companies may increase the production. These companies may increase the quantity to increase there overall profit. If the production increases then companies work on input cost control. Defiantly these companies will pay less for guar gum or these companies may switch on guar gum alternatives. All the alternatives are synthetic and rate of product can be controlled. Again guar gum may reach to the level of November - December 2010 rates.


Next 5-6 month are very criticle for guar gum industry specially in context to Guar Gum application in Shale Gas production.
 

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Latest guar gum and guar seed market report

GUAR REPORT

70% of guar gum is used in O&NG industry. Price of major component of O&NG, Crude oil and Natural gas are going down. And expert are predicting further downfall in both products. It is expected that Crude may cross the lower level of 35$-40$ barrel. It is not impossible the prices had reached below level of 40 $ / Barrel in August, 2008.

Current political and economical condition does not give any sign of improvement in crude prices. There will be continuous pressure on middle-east and Russian economy due to low crude oil.

Natural gas will also not work very well as most of contract for current winter has been already done. The current down fall may not attract any new investment for future activities.

Low rate of crude and natural gas will attract the low cost inputs. Alternative / substitute of guar will create a competition in input chemical market.

Production of Guar: There is estimated production 20 million Bags of guar seed in India in current year.

Demand of guar: The existing contract will keep going. There is less possibilities of new contracts.

Business activities in Guar: - Business activities in guar will be lower during next week due to yearend holidays and New Year celebrations. The export activities will be low during this period.

Supply of Guar: - This is mid of year. It will take time to come new winter crop, which generally comes in April. Sumer crop produce will be only source of fund for farmers. Guar supply will increase. Small trader and investor will come out from the guar stock and investment that will add in supply.

Trading movement: - Downfall may continue. Current level is below Rs 120 that may reach below Rs INR 100-95. Within one month or up to Feb starting Guar gum will reach down to INR 90. There may be also additional pressure of guar gum from existing stock. The manufacturer and importer will have pressure to sell the existing stock due to time. Might be big stockist can wait for long term price movement but small and medium stockist will react negatively and sell their stock to avoider addition loss.

Political Movement: - Sliding down crud may lead to cheaper farm fuel, fertilizers, farm input and cheaper transportation. So there might be no major pressure on Guar from farmer side. Low inflation will not create any political aggressiveness among guar farmers.

Next coming Three Tier Panchayat (rural) election will require addition money for contestant in guar growing region. Guar is major stock able commodity among big farmers. Low rate of guar may lead to more guar inflow in market.
 

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Guar Gum export to Russia will be come down due to weak Rubal

Guar Gum export to Russia will be come down due to weak Rubal


Guar Gum export to Russia will be come down due to weak Rubal


Russia is third major importer of Indian Guar Gum after US and China . We may see a straight downfall in export of guar Gum to Russia due to weak Russian Currency ( Rubal ). As Russian Currency ( Rubal) has touched the lowest point against USD during this month..


As per a local businessman, who is dealing with Russia for Guar Gum export, is saying that in the current quarter of curent financial year ( October November and December), there will be 30 % low export.


As per his view there is more chances that India will lose the order of guar gum from Russia due to weak Russian Currency ( Rubal).


Guar seed /guar gum crop cultivation : Newly Harvested Crop after threshing.




Russia supplies Gas and Oil to Europe, Russia has hit from double side Low prices of Oil and Low valuation of Russian Currency. At another side Western Countries and Europe has put a lot of economic sanctions on Russia on the issue of Crimea. After that export or Russia to European countries has come down.


Mostly Guar Gum is used in O&NG industry but due to low prices of oil and gas will affect the new drilling and this will lead to low demand of Guar gum.

 

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Guar gum arrival has come down in Market due to winter

[h=3]Guar gum arrival has come down in Market due to winter[/h]

This is last week of December. Winter temperature is going down and down. Guar business activities are also very slow.


Guar seed arrival in market is very low. Initially it was low due to low rates of guar seed but right now it is low due to farmer are holding guar seed, in expectation of high rates. Farmers are expecting a level of 7000-8000. Small farmer are selling the seed continuously. Some time they sell it to big farmers some time direct in the market.


Small traders who operate at village level are not getting enough arrival of seed after drop down of rate below 5000. For these traders 5000-5500 level is comfortable level. Below 5000 level farmer are not showing good response to local trader.


Stockists are not expecting too much volatility up and down in industry. As per their view they see it 5500 at higher level. One of stockist who stock guar seed for one of Major producer is saying that manufacturer is under heavy loss due to stock of guar seed at higher rate. There will be a downfall March and April, as new commodity of Rabi Crop (winter crop) will arrive and Guar will be at its lower level.


Guar seed Guar gum cultivation / farming in India. Sickel the major tool for manual harvesting




Processors are expecting a rise in guar price with recovery in crude prices. Guar seed is easily available to for local processing unit. There is no any major mismatch between demand and supply. Demand and supply both are low. Guar seed is reaching to factories.


Upward price movement will be carry on farmer, Trader, Stockist and Miller all are expecting price rise. 4500-5000 is looking a stable level for coming two-three months for guar seed..


Due to cold farmers are also not carrying commodity to market.

 

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Availability of Guar gum seed -2014-15

[h=3]Availability of Guar gum seed -2014-15[/h]

Winter temperature is going down day by day in Guar Growing Belt. The cold temperature is slowing down the guar seed movement from farmer to market.


Availability of Guar seed -2014-15:


1. Year 2014-15 Production - 2, 00, 00,000 Bags
2. Year 2013-14 Carry forward - 80, 00,000 Bags


Total availability of Guar seeds 2014-15 - 2, 80, 00,000 Bags
Total arrival of seeds from farmer 2014-15 - 1, 25, 00,000 Bags
====================================================
Currently Available seeds with Farmer - 1, 55, 00,000 Bags
====================================================


As per discussion with farmers, guar is still a profitable crop in guar growing belt in comparison to other major competitive crop “COTTON”. If current price level remains same then Guar cultivation area will increase in next year.


Cotton is more expensive crop in comparison to Guar, at the same time guar is easy to cultivate crop and increase the productivity of land. If the production area will increase then there will be more production in next year in normal rainfall condition.


Mature Guar seed and Guar crop. in Guar seed /guar gum crop cultivation farm



 

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Demand/Export of guar in year 2014-2015

[h=3]Demand/Export of guar in year 2014-2015[/h]

Demand/Export of Guar Gum Seed:


Demand of Guar Gum is more in this year in comparison to last year. In December 2014 export of Guar gum was 42,000 MT which was 1000 MT more than November-2013. This was also 6000 MT more than last year. The demand of Guar gum has seemed to be increased at lower rate of guar gum.




Month
Guar Gum Export
Year-2013
Guar Gum Export
Year-2014
Change
% Change on 2013
June
19987 MT
31780 MT
+ 11793 MT
59%
July
22085 MT
32691 MT
+ 10606 MT
48%
August
16095 MT
30511 MT
+ 14416 MT
89 %
September
10082 MT
33183 MT
+ 23101 MT
229 %
October
14977 MT
35690 MT
+ 20713 MT
138 %
November
22094 MT
41123 MT
+ 19029 MT
86 %
December
35594 MT
42112 MT
+ 6518 MT
18%



Plant protection and healthy crop management in Guar seed / Guar gum cultivation in India

[h=3]Demand/Export of guar in year 2014-2015[/h]

Demand/Export of Guar Gum Seed:


Demand of Guar Gum is more in this year in comparison to last year. In December 2014 export of Guar gum was 42,000 MT which was 1000 MT more than November-2013. This was also 6000 MT more than last year. The demand of Guar gum has seemed to be increased at lower rate of guar gum.




Month
Guar Gum Export
Year-2013
Guar Gum Export
Year-2014
Change
% Change on 2013
June
19987 MT
31780 MT
+ 11793 MT
59%
July
22085 MT
32691 MT
+ 10606 MT
48%
August
16095 MT
30511 MT
+ 14416 MT
89 %
September
10082 MT
33183 MT
+ 23101 MT
229 %
October
14977 MT
35690 MT
+ 20713 MT
138 %
November
22094 MT
41123 MT
+ 19029 MT
86 %
December
35594 MT
42112 MT
+ 6518 MT
18%



Plant protection and healthy crop management in Guar seed / Guar gum cultivation in India

 

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guargum

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Business activities in Guar gum and Guar Gum Seed.

[h=3]Business activities in Guar gum and Guar Gum Seed.[/h]

Business activities in Guar: -


Right now the movement of business activities is slow but after 14[SUP]th[/SUP] January Guar business activities will increase again. The supply chain of guar gum is balanced and healthy right now. Existing contracts are keep-going smoothly at lower price. In this price down fall big players are working very well. The arrival of guar seed in market has come down but it is regular is guar crop cycle. Normally supply start to decrease from January. In three month January , February March it comes down in comparison to peak arrival of September , October, November and December. From April onward Rabi crop will come in market.


Supply of Guar: -


Supply is sufficient from farmer side as per industry requirement. If the export keep going on this rate then there will carry forward of additional surplus for next year. Local/small traders are regularly supplying the guar seed to manufacturers. Big manufacturer have sufficient stock of Guar, which is sufficient for any sudden mismatch in demand and supply. There will be regular supply of average 50,000-55,000 bags /Day in coming 2-3 months for processing units.


Since Cotton rate are also not competitive as comparison to Guar. Farmers are demoralised on Cotton rates. As per current scenario Guar is Low investment crop, Easy to cultivate, Long storage capacity, Low risk crop and adoptability to climatic condition.


In January there will be bit pressure of supply of Guar due to election in Rajasthan. From March onward Rabi crop arrival will start then farmer, Trader and stockist will active in Rabi ( winter) commodity.


Guar seed and Guar Gum processing. plant




Trading movement: -


Rate will be under pressure from supply. Any rise in price will lead to oversupply of guar seed from farmer. At current price level farmer are behaving within economic limit. No external factor is influencing their decision. INR 4500-5000/ Qt is a comfortable price range for Guar seed. INR 11,500-13,000 /Qt is a comfortable price range for guar gum.


Last week Guar seed arrival in Rajasthan.




S.N.
Date
Arrival in Quintal
Day
Spot rate


1
24/12/2014
21065
4635




2
26/12/2014
30464
4795




3
29/12/2014
28078
Monday
4846




4
30/12/2014
20577
4760




5
31/12/2014
18883
4819




6
01/01/2015
14819
4695


 

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Total production of Guar Gum seed is 3,405,887 MT (34 Million Bags) in year 2014-2015

[h=3]Total production of Guar Gum seed is 3,405,887 MT ( 34 Million Bags) in year 2014-2015[/h]

As per second report released from Rajasthan govt Today. Production of guar will increase this year.

Cultivation area of Guar gum seed is 4,625,706 Hactare
Production of Guar gum seed is 2,796,787 MT

In last report these data were as follows.

Cultivation Area of Guar gum seed : 3,212,965 Hactare
Production of Guar Gum Seed : 1,349,806 MT

Production of Guar seed will increase = 1,446,981 MT

Thus total production of Guar seed will be 3,405,887 MT ( 34 Million Bags)




Newly Harvested Guar seed / Guar gum Seed


 

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Guar seed and guar gum rates are going down but export demand is regular.

[h=3]Guar seed and guar gum rates are going down but export demand is regular.[/h]

Winter has returned back after a temperature rise during last week. Panchayat elections are in full swing. The last phase of pachayat election is 28[SUP]th[/SUP] Jan. Farmers are engaged in election festival. Guar is at its year low today. There are no any major trading activities.


Now the temperature will rise in guar growing belt. Farmers are saying that will engage in plant protection activities. With the rise in temperature insect t pest will start to attack. Mostly Gram, mustard and wheat crop is grown in guar growing belt.


Traders are also silent. There is now any major guar trader activities as arrival of guar is almost stop right now. They expect that little bit arrival will increase after election. There will be two reason first movement of business activities will increase after temperature increase. Farmer will also free from election and will engage in regular activities.



Newly grown healthy Guar Seed crop in Guar Far, in western Rajasthan


There is no news of fresh orders from manufacturers. Manufacturers are silent. Local demand of guar gum is very low right now. One manufacturer said there is a lot of volatility in market. It is very hard and risky to take the job work, since prices are not stable. Only big manufacturer are working on long term. Small/ new manufacturer are afraid of sudden price rise and price drop.


Big manufacturer are maintaining huge stock in ware houses they have also come with metal granaries for gaur stock. The price of guar was low during this year so it was easy to stock the commodity. Local demand is very poor. Export is consistently going on as per regular trade cycle.



Some farmers in Ganganagar belt are still having huge stock and waiting for a price rise. As per information in physical market there is availability of Guar seed. Traders are working on volumes to increase the overall margin at low rate.
 

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Sliding Guar seed and guar Gum rates are back firing to Manufacturers

Sliding Guar seed and guar Gum rates are back firing to Manufacturers




Temperature is rising slowly and slowly. Winter period is leaving behind. Local village level Panchayat elections have been almost finished. From next week onward farmer will engage in their daily activity. Every day Guar is touching its lower level.


After the downfall in energy industry, rate of Crude oil and Natural Gas are its lower level. Guar gum business has no more high margin. New manufacturer are struggling to survive. Currently guar gum Industry is becoming cattle feed centric. Today rate of Guar Churi, Guar Korma is at its peak point.
Export of Guar Korma and Guar Churi is increasing and percentage share in total guar products is also increasing. Due to rich in protein and highly digestive in nature, demand of cattle feed product is increasing.


Guar seed and Guar gum cultivation in India Mechanical harvesting




Supply of guar seed is regular as per the demand. There is no any supply constraint right now. Big manufacturer are completing the demand of guar gum industry.


Local trading of guar gum split and powder has gone down. Established manufactured are focused on korma / churi, right now guar gum split is the by-product.


.N.ProductRate ( INR/100 Kg)
1Guar Seed3700-4000
3Guar Gum10100-10300
5Guar Churl1650-1800
6Guar Korma1800-2100





While discussing with manufacturer they said that they have invested huge money in plant and machinery. Now interest on credit from bank is rotating. In coming day it will be very critical for the manufacturer.
 

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Guar Churi ( Guar meal ) is also giving strong support to guar ( guar gum ) seed

[h=3]Guar Churi ( Guar meal ) is also giving strong support to guar ( guar gum ) seed[/h]

Guar seed has shown bit price rise. There is more price in guar seed than Guar gum. It was the impact of rise in crude oil prices in last week that was around 9 % which was highest in a day during last six year.


There was more rises in Guar seed in comparison to Guar gum. It was just because of Guar available in physical market. Guar churi is also giving strong support to guar seed. demand of animal feed protein is increasing in world.



Guar Churi ( Guar meal) used as Animal Protein. by product of guar ( guar seed ) gum processing industry.


As per expert the impact of crude price on guar seed / gum is short term in long term impact crude must be more than 75 USD/ Barrel.


Todays price rise is also an impact of adjustment from physical market impact on future price downfall.


Physical availability of guar split is making guar seed stronger than guar gum. Manufacturers are adjusting guar gum split low price with guar churi price rise.



Physical arrival of guar seed will also stop after March as new crop will come in market and physical commodity market will engage in new crop. APRIL to OCTOBER period will be a low arrival period. Supply will become tight in that period.
 

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Guar seed and Guar gum market after local election In Rajasthan

[h=3]Guar seed and Guar gum market after local election In Rajasthan[/h]

Guar is showing price rise continuously second day. Today’s rise is more than yesterday. Today guar gum has emerged stronger than guar seed. Guar gum is following the price rise of Crude oil.




Local Panchayat election has completed in Rajasthan. There was low business activity during winter and election time but now the business activity is increasing and demand has increased for short time.




Spot market is giving strong base to the future prices. As per export data there is no any major down fall in export of guar gum products in comparison to last year.




Manual Harvesting of Guar ( Guar seed ) Gum crop.


Manufacturer / traders / exporters are hopeful for price rise because in current time there are three basic fundamental which are strong. Number one: Price rise of Crude Oil, Second: guar supply time if moving toward off time and third: strong demand of by-product ( guar churi ). After one month Guar seed supply from farmer will almost stop due to arrival of new crop.




In physical market, supply of gaur seed is slow as per regular trend in this time.




MD of one of major Guar gum producer looks the downfall. He expects that guar may touch 3500 and Guar gum 7500 if the demand from O&N industry doesn't rise.

 

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Guar churi and Guar Korma is giving support for Stabilization of Guar seed prices

[h=3]Guar churi and Guar Korma is giving support for Stabilization of Guar seed prices[/h]

Guar seed and guar rate remained stabled in spot market after two days rally in Jodhpur market. Some fresh buying has reported in spot market due to rise in price of crude oil. Future market gained in morning but in afternoon it started to goes down. In morning hour guar seed and guar gum opened strong but as per last trading Guar gum has lose 50 Rs/100 Kg and guar gum seed Rs 30/100 Kg in Jodhpur market. In other market it remained stable.


There is daily arrival of 20,000 Bags of guar seed 100 kg each from farmers. This much of supply will keep going. Manufacturers are waiting for fresh orders from US. Speculators and Stockist are also active in market.











Guar is being traded at Rs 4200 as a mean price in most of spot market. Traders are highly demoralized due to low rate. There is neck to neck competition. Currently margins are very less in guar business.


Oil and natural gas industry consume more than 70 % of guar. Demand from this sector is back bone for this industry. Demand from Food industry is not showing any major demand at low guar gum price.



Demand of Guar Churi is as usual in market. It may come down with price rise of guar split. In the case of guar gum price rise, production of Guar Churi will increase and supply will increase in market.
 

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Will Guar and Guar gum rate stable?? How will it affect Guar Gum Seed Cultivation in

[h=3]Will Guar and Guar gum rate stable?? How will it affect Guar Gum Seed Cultivation in india ??[/h]


Guar seed and gaur gum rates has improved by Rs 50 and Rs 100 in local market after improvement in position in future market. At lower level supply of seed has slow down in local market. Some stockists are also showing interest in purchasing guar seed and guar gum to lower down their average cost of stock.


They are covering or minimizing their inventory loss. In market of Jodhpur guar is available at Rs 3800 and Gum is available at 9050.


But the fear of further crush is still with guar seed and guar gum, as crude Oil is being traded below 70 USD. Once Crude will cross USD 70 then it will give a platform to Guar at demand side. Though, current improvement is a sentimental trend but it will be keep going if the rally in crude will keep going.






Will Guar and Guar gum rate stable?? How will it affect Guar Gum Seed Cultivation in India ??


The trend of down fall in rate has been halted right now. Stack holders in physical market are in the position of wait and watch. In a discussion with local trader it was found that there is no any major impact on business. Even at improved rate, physical volume has not increased.



For short term guar is stable and there are low chances for further crush but for long term market will have to wait for crude price go beyond 80 USD. In current international politics there is no good news for economic growth. Major concern is coming from increasing political instability in Europe.


In coming time guar gum cultivation in India will not effect, because cotton is parallel crop to Guar in Guar Growing belt. This year there is no any major improvement in cotton. Cotton is also going down. Guar gum export is also going down.
 

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How much Guar gum and Guar seed can fall, at lower level

[h=3]How much Guar gum and Guar seed can fall, at lower level[/h]

Guar improved in local market due with improvement in future market. Even after improvement there is no any major impact on guar seed arrival in market. Guar Gum and guar seed both are slightly improving during this week.


As per export data released, in this year there is huge decline in income from export of guar. This year there is decline in guar gum export in quantity wise and price wise. Some long term commodity experts see further down fall before March contract. Mr. Praveen Gupta from Nagaur see that current price rise is only a speculative rise. This is not original one. He predicts that once Guar will reach between the level of 2500-3000, then after guar will stable. Same time he also predict a level of 7000 for guar gum split.






Guar seed and Guar Gum cultivation India- Harvested Guar crop ready to threshing
Current year production data and export data and demand forecast does not support price rise. Local trading is very low. For this year guar will not improve even after demand due to over production. Stack holder of guar industry are already in huge loss. Right now only genuine players are surviving in market.


Crude is improving but it will take time for new investment. Oil and natural gas industry, doesn't not attract any major investment in current international political scenario.
 

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guargum

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Guar touched its lower point after demand from Oil and Natural gas Industry is going

Guar touched its lower point after demand from Oil and Natural gas Industry is going Down



Guar fell down sharply after crush in crude prices. Guar seed crushed INR 100 and guar gum around 300 Rs. There are two type of pressure. Yesterday US petroleum association has released data of huge inventory increase in crude oil after that crude price slide down. It was sentimental pressure on guar. At another side Feb contract is moving for realization and it will end tomorrow.




Local traders are not taking any interest in guar. They are preparing for new crop. Most of stocking activities are completed. Data released from Haryana state govt about guar production are better than expected. It is also noted that up to December Guar export is increased but in reality it was a stock transfer from Indian company to their US subsidiaries.




Guar Gum Cultivation / Farming In India- farmer




Local manufacturer and traders are not seeing any major impact on business activities. There is some improvement in Guar korma business. The demand of animal feed protein for meat production is increasing globally. Guar is emerging as major source for animal feed protein.


People are predicting shrinkage in guar cultivation area next year. But expert are saying that the cultivation area will not go down as guar is still a profitable crop in comparison to cotton. This year there was no any major price rise in cotton. After so many investment and huge labour both crops are giving same return. At the same time there is no any other option in rain fed crop.



In coming time, demand of guar will increase from waste water treatment industry. Waste water treatment is major challenge globally. If things will go in right direction then day is not far that Guar will provide a effective solution of urban waste water.
 

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guargum

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Guar seed & Guar Gum may crash down Guar seed at Rs 2500 and Guar gum at Rs 6500

[h=2][/h][h=3]Guar seed & Guar Gum may crash down Guar seed at Rs 2500 and Guar gum at Rs 6500[/h]

Guar slipped further to touched further lowest level. It was supposed to stocking activity at lower level. But it is being more vulnerable. Guar is reacting further down fall at sliding prices. Today Guar gum slipped around 300 and guar seed around 100. Now it is clear that very soon it will touch level of 6500 in Guar gum and 2500 in guar seed. Guar gun export in year 2014-2015 will come down in comparison to last year.


While discussing with Mr Kamal Gupta from Alwar, it was noticed that middlemen, traders and stockist are holding huge stock. Now this complete stock will come in market at low price. These traders will require further cash for Rabi crop trading activity. In expectation of good prices most of stack holder in Indian guar gum industry are having huge stock at every level.



Guar seed Guar Gum Cultivation In India . Guar seed and Guasr Gum will crash down.


Chain start from farmer some farmers are maintaining the stock since 3-4 years. One can easily find one-two farmer who has around 500 Bags in guar growing belt, after that one can find 5-6 Farmers who have 100-150 Bags in every village after that 10-15 farmers who have stock of 50-60 Bags. One can easily find that most small farmers are having stock of 10-15 bags. The same situation is with trader and stockist. A normal trader is having a stock of 1000-1500 Bags and most of guar split processing factories are having a stock of 15000-20000 bags. Most of big manufacturer maintain a stock of 1,00,000-1,50,000 Bags.


It is noticed if Guar seed slips at level of 2500 in future then there is not money to buy it. It will hard to find buyer at the level of Rs 2500. western Rajasthan is major guar gum seed cultivation are in the world. Miss handle of this commodity leaded to this crises.



In current year there is no any chance of price rise. After two month a small new summer crop of guar seed will come in market. There can some minor upward correction in June-July but not the major one.
 

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