China Fertilizer Market Review & Outlook 2008/2009

[agrichina]

TABLE OF CONTENT

CHAPTER ONE: MACRO-ECONOMY & FERTILIZER INDUSTRY’S DEVELOPMENT 1
1.1 China’s Economic Situation 1
1.1.1 China’s National Macro-Economy in 2008 & Economic Trend in 2009 1
1.1.2 Fulfillment of China’s Economic Objectives in 2008 3
Table1.1, Fulfillment of Objectives Set for 2006-2008 3
1.1.3 Fulfillment of Agricultural Objectives in 2008 4
Table1.2, Fulfillment of Major Farm Product Supply Objectives Set in 2006-2008 4
1.1.4 Fulfillment of Objectives in Chemical Industry 4
Table1.3, Fulfillment of Major Chemical Product Supply Objectives Set in 2006-2008 5
1.1.5 Fulfillment of Objectives in Fertilizer Industry 5
Table1.4, Fulfillment of Fertilizer Objectives Set for 2006-2008 5
1.2 Impact of Agricultural Policies on Fertilizer Industry 5
1.2.1 Impact of State Grain Development Plan (2008 ~ 2020) on Fertilizer Market 5
1.2.2 Impact of Agricultural Subsidy on Fertilizer 6
1.2.3 Impact of Other Agricultural Policies on Fertilizer Market 6
1.3 Impact of Resource Policy on Fertilizer Production 7
1.3.1 Coal Policy Trend & Its Impact on Fertilizer Industry 7
1.3.2 Natural Gas Policy Trend & Its Impact on Fertilizer Industry 8
1.3.3 Mineral Resource Policy Trend & Its Impact on Fertilizer Industry 8
1.4 Readjustment of Fuel Policy & Its Impact on Fertilizer Distribution 9
1.5 Readjustment of Financial Policy & Its Impact on Fertilizer Industry’s Development 10
1.6 Impact of International Financial Crisis on China’s Fertilizer Market 10
1.7 Fixed Assets Investment in China’s Fertilizer Industry 11
1.7.1 Investment in the Nitrogen Fertilizer Industry 11
Table1.5, Investment in the Nitrogen Fertilizer Industry, 2005-2008 11
1.7.2 Investment in Phosphate fertilizer Industry 11
Table1.6, Investment in the Phosphate Fertilizer Industry, 2005-2008 12
1.7.3 Investment in Potash fertilizer Industry 12
Table1.7, Investment in the Potash Fertilizer Industry, 2005-2008 12
1.7.4 Investment in Compound Fertilizer Industry 12
Table1.8, Investment in the Compound Fertilizer Industry, 2005-2008 13
1.8 Analysis of Fertilizer Industry’s Competitiveness 13
1.8.1 Nitrogen Fertilizer Industry’s Competitiveness 13
Table1.9, Competitiveness index of Nitrogen Fertilizer Industry 13
1.8.2 Phosphate Fertilizer Industry’s Competitiveness 14
Table1.10, Competitiveness index of Phosphate Fertilizer Industry 14
1.8.3 Potash fertilizer Industry’s Competitiveness 14
Table1.11, Competitiveness index of Potash Fertilizer Industry 15
1.8.4 Compound Fertilizer Industry’s Competitiveness 15
Table1.12, Competitiveness index of Compound Fertilizer Industry 15
1.9 Changes in Fertilizer Product-Mix in 2008 15
Figure1.1 Proportion of China Fertilizer Production 16
1.10 Development of Fertilizer Distribution System 16
1.10.1 Overview of Fertilizer Distribution 16
1.10.2 Development of Farm Material Chain-Store Operation 17
1.10.3 Sinofert’s Marketing Network 17
1.10.4 China Farm Supply Group’s Marketing Network 18
1.10.5 Postal Farm Material Distribution 18
1.10.6 Foreign Enterprises’ Fertilizer Distribution in China 18

CHAPTER TWO: REVIEW & OUTLOOK OF FERTILIZER MARKET IN 2008-2009 19
2.1 Market Review for 2008 19
2.1.1 Analysis of Fertilizer Industry’s Boom Index in 2008 19
Table2.1, Economic Indicators of Fertilizer Industry in 2008 19
Figure2.1, Profit margin of chemical fertilizer manufacture 19
2.1.2 Fertilizer Market Trend in 2008 20
2.1.3 Impact of International Fertilizer Price on Chinese Market 20
Figure2.2, International Fertilizer Prices 21
2.1.4 Impact of Fertilizer Export Tax on Domestic Fertilizer Market 21
Figure2.3, Duty Rate for China’s Exported Fertilizer, 2007-2008 22
2.1.5 Analysis of Fertilizer Input/Yields in Crop Farming 22
Figure2.4, Returns from Major Crops in China 23
Figure2.5, Grain/Fertilizer Price Ratio 23
2.1.6 Fertilizer Production in 2008 24
Figure2.6, Monthly Total Fertilizer Production 24
2.1.7 Fertilizer Imports & Exports in 2008 24
Figure2.7 China Fertilizer Net Imports 25
Figure2.8, Proportion of China Fertilizer Imports, 2007 25
Figure2.9, Proportion of China Fertilizer Imports, 2008 26
Figure2.10, Proportion of China Fertilizer Exports, 2008 26
Figure2.11, Proportion of China Fertilizer Exports, 2008 26
2.1.8 Fertilizer Consumption in 2008 27
2.1.9 Fertilizer Price Trend in 2008 27
Figure2.12, Producer’s Prices of Fertilizers, 2006-2008 28
Figure2.13, Retail Prices of Fertilizers, 1997-2008 29
2.2 Outlook of Fertilizer Market in 2009 30
2.2.1 Outlook of Fertilizer Market Trend in 2009 30
2.2.2 Estimates of Fertilizer Input/Yields in Crop Farming in 2009 30
2.2.3 Fertilizer Import Quotas & Import Agents in 2009 31
Table2.2, Preferential Tariff Rate Fertilizer Import Quotas for 2009 31
2.2.4 Fertilizer Import & Export Tax Policy for 2009 31
Figure2.14, Duty Rate for China’s Exported Fertilizer, 2008-2009 32
2.2.5 Government’s Fertilizer Market Policy Orientation in 2009 32
2.2.5.1 Policy on Investment in Fertilizer Industry 32
2.2.5.2 Tax Policy & Preferential Treatment Policy 33
2.2.5.3 Policy for Fertilizer Reserve during Off-Season of Consumption 33
2.2.5.4 Fertilizer Import & Export Policy in 2009 33
2.2.5.5 Fertilizer Price Policy 34
2.2.5.6 Environmental Protection Policy 34
2.2.6 Estimates of Fertilizer Production in 2009 35
2.2.7 Estimates of Fertilizer Imports & Exports in 2009 35
2.2.8 Estimates of Fertilizer Consumption in 2009 35

CHAPTER THREE: REVIEW & OUTLOOK OF NITROGEN FERTILIZER MARKET IN 2008-2009 36
3.1 Review of Nitrogen fertilizer Market in 2008 36
3.1.1 Analysis of Nitrogen fertilizer Industry’s Boom Index in 2008 36
Table3.1, Economic Indicators of Nitrogenous Fertilizer Industry in 2007 36
Figure3.1, Profit margin of Nitrogenous Fertilizer Industry 36
3.1.2 Nitrogen fertilizer Industry’s Cost & Profit 37
Table3.2, Production Cost of Urea 37
3.1.3 Analysis of Nitrogen fertilizer Market in 2008 37
3.1.4 Nitrogen fertilizer Production in 2008 37
Figure3.2, Monthly Nitrogen Fertilizer Production 38
Figure3.3, Proportion of Nitrogen Fertilizer Production, 2007 38
Figure3.4, Proportion of Nitrogen Fertilizer Production, 2008 38
3.1.5 Nitrogen fertilizer Imports & Exports in 2008 39
Figure3.5, Monthly Urea Exports 39
3.1.6 Nitrogen fertilizer Consumption in 2008 39
3.1.7 Review of Urea Market in 2008 40
3.1.7.1 Analysis of Urea Market in 2008 40
3.1.7.2 Urea Production in 2008 40
Figure3.6, Monthly Urea Production 40
3.1.7.3 Urea Consumption in 2008 41
3.1.7.4 Urea Price Trend in 2008 41
3.1.7.4 Urea market trend 41
Figure3.7, China Urea Monthly Retail Prices 41
3.1.8 ABC Market in 2008 42
3.1.8.1 ABC Production in 2008 42
3.1.8.2 ABC Consumption in 2008 42
3.1.8.3 ABC Price Trend in 2008 42
Figure3.8, China ABC Monthly Retail Prices 42
3.2 Outlook of Nitrogen fertilizer Market in 2009 43
3.2.1 Potential Increase in Nitrogen fertilizer Productive Capacity in 2009 43
3.2.2 Outlook of Nitrogen fertilizer Market in 2009 43
3.2.3 Outlook of Urea Market in 2009 44
3.2.4 Impact of Customs Tariff on Urea Exports 44
Figure3.9, Duty Rate for China’s Exported Urea,2007-2009 45
3.2.5 Outlook of Coal Supply & Natural Gas Supply to Urea Industry 45
3.2.6 Estimates of Nitrogen fertilizer production in 2009 45
3.2.7 Estimates of Nitrogen fertilizer Imports & Exports in 2009 46
3.2.8 Estimates of Nitrogen fertilizer Consumption in 2009 46

CHAPTER FOUR: REVIEW AND OUTLOOK OF PHOSPHATE FERTILIZER MARKET 2008-2009 47
4.1 Review of Phosphate Fertilizer Market in 2008 47
4.1.1 Analysis of Phosphate Industry’s Boom Index in 2008 47
Table4.1, Operation Performance of the Phosphate Fertilizer Industry in 2008 47
Figure4.1, Profit Margin of Phosphate Fertilizer Industry 47
4.1.2 Phosphate Industry’s Cost & Profit in 2008 48
Table4.2, Production Cost of SSP 48
4.1.3 Analysis of Phosphate Market in 2008 48
4.1.4 Phosphate Production in 2008 48
Figure4.2, Monthly Phosphate Fertilizer Production 49
Figure4.3, Proportion of Phosphate Fertilizer Production, 2008 49
Figure4.4, Proportion of Phosphate Fertilizer Production, 2007 50
4.1.5 Phosphate Imports & Exports in 2008 50
Figure4.5, Monthly TSP Exports 50
Figure4.6, Monthly SSP Exports 51
4.1.6 Phosphate Consumption in 2008 51
4.1.7 Phosphate Price Trend in 2008 51
Figure4.7, China SSP Monthly Retail Prices 52
4.2 Outlook of Phosphate Fertilizer Market in 2009 52
4.2.1 Outlook of Phosphate Market Trend in 2009 52
4.2.2 Outlook of Phosphate Raw Material Supply in 2009 52
4.2.3 Estimates of Phosphate Production in 2009 53
4.2.4 Estimates of Phosphate Imports & Exports in 2009 53
Figure4.8, Duty Rate for China’s Exported TSP, 2008-2009 53
Figure4.9, Duty Rate for China’s Exported SSP, 2008-2009 54
4.2.5 Estimates of Phosphate Consumption in 2009 54

CHAPTER FIVE: REVIEW AND OUTLOOK OF POTASH FERTILIZER MARKET 2008-2009 55


CHAPTER SIX: REVIEW AND OUTLOOK OF COMPOUND FERTILIZER MARKET 2008-2009 64

CHAPTER SEVEN: REVIEW AND OUTLOOK OF RELATED INDUSTRIES 2008-2009 75

......
For more information, please contact..........